Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown
Sam Bradford: 212.1 total, 13.3 ppg (380/550 passing, 3740 yards, 21 TD, 9 INT; 45 yards rushing, 0 TD, 4 fumbles lost)
Make no mistake, Bradford will be the starting QB to start the season. In fact, I’d say that there are only two reasons why Rosen would start at all this year: 1) Cards official drop out of the playoff race, or 2) Bradford gets hurt (again). Now, between those two reasons we are very likely to see Rosen at some point, but it won’t be for a while. Therefore, Rosen is not worth drafting in standard fantasy setups. That being said, it’s not like Bradford is really worth drafting either. The offensive line is subpar and there are only two established weapons on this offense in Larry Fitzgerald and David Johnson. Christian Kirk and Ricky Seals-Jones may provide some support, but it’s too early to tell. It’s unlikely the Cards have a high-flying offense, and with Sam “Glass Knees” Bradford unlikely to do much running he’s unlikely to have much fantasy value.
David Johnson: 394.2 total, 24.6 ppg (325 carries, 1333 yards, 13 TD, 3 fumbles lost; 85 Rec, 799 yards, 4 TD)
The Cardinals’ offense runs through DJ. He will dominate the carries, and if Fitz finally starts showing his age DJ might lead the team in catches too. He’ll probably account for at least 1/3 of Arizona’s touchdowns because who else is going to get them? Everyone in the league knows that DJ will get the ball early and often so his efficiency will not be too great (especially as the season wears on), but he should be a reliably elite RB1 on volume alone. Don’t worry about him missing last year due to injury; it was a wrist injury, so his legs are in fine condition and now have had a year to rest. DJ should be going within the top 3 in every fantasy format. For those curious, Chase Edmonds appears to be the handcuff here, but he will not have standalone value unless something happens to DJ.
Larry Fitzgerald: 255.1 total, 15.9 ppg (110 Rec, 1111 yards, 6 TD, 1 fumble lost)
Christian Kirk: 132.0 total, 8.3 ppg (50 Rec, 640 yards, 3 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
If DJ is the heart of this offense, Fitz is definitely the soul. Fitz has lost a step over the last few years and has switched from being an outside receiver to the slot, but he’s lost none of his toughness. He’s about as reliable as they come and should continue to dominate the WR targets despite the change in management and at QB. He can be comfortably drafted as a back end WR1 in fantasy. There is, however, a massive question mark behind him. Brice Butler and Chad Williams have both shown occasional flashes, but neither is exactly top tier talent. Newly drafted Kirk is the most likely to fill the void. Don’t be surprised if it takes him a few weeks to start producing though as is typical for rookie wide receivers. I currently have him down as a high-upside WR5, making him an excellent late round flyer.
Ricky Seals-Jones: 146.5 total, 9.2 ppg (50 Rec, 605 yards, 6 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
I’ll admit, this is a bit risky given how little we saw of Seals-Jones last year. However, by all accounts he has solidified his grasp on the top receiving tight end spot. More than that, the tight end position is likely to be targeted fairly heavily regardless of starting QB; with Bradford it’ll be to protect his legs on quick passes, and with Rosen it’ll be to help build confidence in a young QB. RSJ should be a borderline TE1/2 with high upside, making him an ideal flyer for those who like to draft tight ends late.