Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown
Matt Ryan: 252.6 total, 15.8 ppg (340/525 passing, 4200 yards, 24 TD, 10 INT; 126 yards rushing, 0 TD, 2 fumbles lost)
Year 2 in Sarkisian’s offense should see some modest improvements for Matty Ice. The addition of Calvin Ridley also provides modest support. Most everything else stayed the same from last year though so Matt’s numbers should be pretty similar to last year. This puts him outside the QB1 conversation and possibly even outside reliable bye-week fill-in territory. He is not really worth drafting.
Devonta Freeman: 228.1 total, 14.3 ppg (225 carries, 1013 yards, 8 TD, 1 fumble lost; 40 Rec, 348 yards, 1 TD)
Tevin Coleman: 167.2 total, 10.5 ppg (160 carries, 672 yards, 5 TD, 1 fumble lost; 25 Rec, 290 yards, 3 TD)
I see little reason for either running back’s efficiency to improve outside of playing a full season after both were injured last year at various points. Coleman may be given more touches in anticipation of him walking after the season, but otherwise the pace Freeman and Coleman were on last season should be their benchmark this season as well. Draft Freeman as a RB2 with RB1 upside and Coleman as a somewhat boom-or-bust RB3.
Julio Jones: 282.9 total, 17.7 ppg (95 Rec, 1539 yards, 6 TD, 1 fumble lost)
Mohammed Sanu: 149.4 total, 9.3 ppg (60 Rec, 654 yards, 4 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Calvin Ridley: 119.4 total, 7.5 ppg (45 Rec, 504 yards, 4 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Lots of catches, high yardage, and low TD counts is kinda par for the course for Julio Jones. He should continue in pretty much the same way this season, making him a safe mid-range WR1. Calvin Ridley may push for increased snaps as the season wears on, but rookie WRs typically take a bit to get out of the gate, and Sanu is pretty well established as the WR2 for now. Sanu is a solid rotational player to draft for your flex spot while Ridley is more the stash-type flyer to look for in the later rounds.
Austin Hooper: 128.5 total, 8.0 ppg (50 Rec, 545 yards, 4 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Hooper was impressive last season, if somewhat boom-or-bust. Unfortunately for him, there isn’t much room for growth after the Falcons drafted Calvin Ridley. I would expect Hooper to pretty much match his totals from last year, but at the same time that is his ceiling; don’t expect anything more out of him. This places him squarely in TE2 status, only really useful for bye weeks. He’s not worth drafting unless you really missed out on TE earlier in the draft.