Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown
Mitch Trubisky: 244.5 total, 15.3 ppg (325/500 passing, 3600 yards, 22 TD, 10 INT; 285 yards rushing, 2 TD, 4 fumbles lost)
Much better offensive scheme as well as much better supporting cast this year for Trubs. However, Trubisky still doesn’t have much experience; his 12 starts last year nearly doubled his number of starts in the past 5 years. Matt Nagy’s offense should help, but ultimately Trubisky should be playing second fiddle to the running game. He’s not worth the roster spot just yet.
Jordan Howard: 191.4 total, 12.0 ppg (250 carries, 1175 yards, 8 TD, 1 fumble lost; 15 Rec, 129 yards, 0 TD)
Tarik Cohen: 184.5 total, 11.5 ppg (115 carries, 518 yards, 3 TD, 2 fumbles lost; 55 Rec, 457 yards, 3 TD)
For all the nay-sayers out there talking down about Howard, keep in mind that he averaged 4.1 YPC last year while facing stacked boxes 40% of the time! Even when he wasn’t facing stacked boxes, everyone and their mothers knew what was coming. Kinda harkening back to the Walter Payton days, really. Anyone who can do that has talent, and Nagy would be a fool not to take advantage of it. That being said, I could catch a football better than he can and Tarik Cohen has drawn nothing but praise all offseason. Between having an actual vision for the human joystick and having actual receivers out wide, it’s hard to imagine Howard even matching his meager 23 receptions from last year. Assuming Cohen steals a couple carries too, this thunder-and-lightning duo will be much more closely matched in fantasy. Draft both with confidence as respectable RB2/3 options with the possibility of RB1 weeks.
Allen Robinson: 189.9 total, 11.9 ppg (65 Rec, 949 yards, 5 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Anthony Miller: 118.5 total, 7.4 ppg (50 Rec, 525 yards, 3 TD, 1 fumble lost)
Taylor Gabriel: 89.7 total, 5.6 ppg (30 Rec, 477 yards, 2 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
The more I hear out of camp the more I feel that Anthony Miller could become the WR1 over Allen Robinson. Until I see it on the field though, it’s hard to believe the major FA acquisition will play behind the rookie. Allen Robinson should be on the high end of the hoard of WR3’s while Anthony Miller is a good late-round flyer with high upside. Taylor Gabriel is a boom-or-bust receiver who will probably bust more than boom. Also keep an eye on Kevin White. It’s easy to forget he’s still around after playing only 5 games over 3 years, but the guy was drafted #7 overall for a reason. If he can string together some healthy months, he may sneak his way into fantasy relevance.
Trey Burton: 165.2 total, 10.3 ppg (55 Rec, 682 yards, 7 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Nagy must be used to having Travis Kelce around. After presumably seeing nothing of note in the Bears TE room, he went and got Burton to fill the role. Burton’s no Kelce – his size is closer to that of a big receiver than a TE – but he has much of the same skill set. Expect him to compete with Anthony Miller as Trubisky’s safety valve. Backup Adam Shaheen might not carry much fantasy value behind Burton, but he figures to be on the field a fair amount as the main blocking TE. He proved to have some receiving chops last year, so he’s worth keeping an eye on should something happen to Burton.