Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown
Dak Prescott: 296.5 total, 18.5 ppg (325/500 passing, 3600 yards, 22 TD, 8 INT; 405 yards rushing, 8 TD, 4 fumbles lost)
It sounds like the plan down in Dallas is to give Dak the run-pass option offense that best suits his skillset. He should achieve higher rushing marks than in previous years, which will boost his value. I do, however, have some concerns over the reports of the passing game struggling in camp. I feel comfortable with the above passing numbers for now, but I would not be surprised to see him fall short of those numbers at the end of the year.
Ezekiel Elliott: 301.7 total, 18.9 ppg (325 carries, 1462 yards, 13 TD, 1 fumble lost; 35 Rec, 385 yards, 1 TD)
Tavon Austin: 130.9 total, 8.2 ppg (60 carries, 324 yards, 2 TD, 2 fumbles lost; 35 Rec, 315 yards, 4 TD)
Zeke will be Zeke. Nothing in particular to report there that you probably didn’t already know. The quagmire here is Tavon Austin. The Cowboys say that they plan to use him everywhere, and given the lack of weapons I’m inclined to believe it. They currently have him listed as a running back (and keep calling him a “web back”, whatever that means) which is why I have him listed here. The running back tag is also what led me to believe that he will essentially be a 3rd down/change-of-pace back and see similar usage to his last season with the Rams. However, reports out of camp are that he’s been lining up out wide. If that’s how he’s used then my projections will certainly be off, but he may still hold value. Keep an eye on him; there may be some surprising flex value.
Allen Hurns: 159 total, 9.9 ppg (60 Rec, 750 yards, 4 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Michael Gallup: 159.2 total, 10.0 ppg (55 Rec, 682 yards, 6 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Cole Beasley: 142.6 total, 8.9 ppg (55 Rec, 636 yards, 4 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Terrance Williams: 78.9 total, 4.9 ppg (30 Rec, 429 yards, 1 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Fascinating group of receivers. Unfortunately, not in the good way. All reports point to Hurns being the undisputed top dog of the group, which is concerning since he’s yet to play a full season and is already dealing with injuries. There’s been talk of moving slot receiver Beasley outside, which is also concerning. Looks like this’ll be a true team effort this year with no true WR1 to anchor the group. Gallup’s and Beasley’s numbers are slightly inflated in the above projections due to the expectation that Hurns will miss a few games, as he typically does. Gallup, Hurns, and Beasley may provide some upside value late, but don’t draft them expecting consistent production.
Blake Jarwin: 62.3 total, 3.9 ppg (25 Rec, 253 yards, 2 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Quick, name a Dallas tight end currently on the roster. Witten is gone and there is not a single name worth mentioning to replace him. Blake Jarwin appears to be the top receiving option, but that’s not saying much. He also has not locked the TE1 spot down, which is saying much. Avoid this group.