Denver Broncos Fantasy Preview

2018 Projections

Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown

Case Keenum: 227.4 total, 14.2 ppg (340/550 passing, 3740 yards, 22 TD, 11 INT; 98 yards rushing, 1 TD, 2 fumbles lost)
There is a question of which Case Keenum Denver gets; the Rams Keenum or the Vikings Keenum? Given the disparity in coaching, I’m inclined to believe that Keenum’s problems while with the Rams were not his own doing. With that in mind, Bill Musgrave is a proven, solid offensive coordinator. I’m inclined to believe another solid season from Keenum is in order. However, while the talent level in Denver isn’t quite what it was in Minnesota, the Broncos do have a solid defense and a potential workhorse back in rookie Royce Freeman. Keenum likely won’t have to throw much, and since he’s not much of a runner I would not expect him to be a contender for QB1 status. He’s best left on waivers to start the season.

Royce Freeman: 204.8 total, 12.8 ppg (200 carries, 860 yards, 7 TD, 1 fumble lost; 40 Rec, 328 yards, 1 TD)
Devontae Booker: 130.9 total, 8.2 ppg (125 carries, 488 yards, 4 TD, 2 fumbles lost; 30 Rec, 261 yards, 1 TD)
The Broncos’ brass have made it abundantly clear that there will be a RBBC to start the season. Something something rookies earning their roles. At some point, they have to realize that Freeman has looked like the far superior back so far. I suspect that the timeshare will slowly lean in Freeman’s favor until he’s effectively a workhorse back to end the season. Based purely on averages Freeman appears to be a low end RB2, but take that with a grain of salt; he’ll most likely start the season as a RB3 and work his way up to RB1/2 consideration. Don’t be discouraged by his slow start. Booker likely will lean the other way; he should start as a low end RB3 and slowly work his way out of fantasy relevance.

Demaryius Thomas: 217.6 total, 13.6 ppg (80 Rec, 976 yards, 7 TD, 1 fumble lost)
Emmanuel Sanders: 164.4 total, 10.3 ppg (60 Rec, 804 yards, 4 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Courtland Sutton: 96.4 total, 6.0 ppg (35 Rec, 434 yards, 3 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
It wasn’t all that long ago that both Thomas and Sanders were WR1’s in fantasy. Then Manning retired. The lowlight was last year, with an overly complicated playbook and ineffective QBs. Both should be improved this year. With a credible third receiver I anticipate both Thomas and Sanders to have some work taken away from them, but that doesn’t mean poor seasons. Thomas should still be a mid-range WR2 while Sanders should be a mid-to-high end WR4. Sutton likely doesn’t hold much value unless an injury sidelines one of the two starters.

Jake Butt: 112.5 total, 7.0 ppg (45 Rec, 495 yards, 3 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
I would love nothing more than for Jake Butt to take the league by storm, if for no other reason that to call his supporters Butt-heads. All joking aside, Butt does not appear to have much in the way of competition for the starting tight end gig in Denver. I wouldn’t expect it to be a particularly high volume role, but if he dominates targets he should prove to be an adequate bye week fill-in.

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