Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown
Blake Bortles: 252.2 total, 15.8 ppg (320/525 passing, 3780 yards, 22 TD, 12 INT; 330 yards rushing, 2 TD, 4 fumbles lost)
Last year, the Jaguars discovered that the key to them winning is to keep the ball out of Bortles’s hands with a stout defense and good running game. Nothing has really changed since last year, so there’s no reason to believe this year will be any different. He has some running ability which will help mitigate the lack of passing volume, but ultimately he should be viewed as a low-end QB2.
Leonard Fournette: 274.8 total, 17.2 ppg (325 carries, 1300 yards, 11 TD, 1 fumble lost; 40 Rec, 348 yards, 1 TD)
T. J. Yeldon: 101.2 total, 6.3 ppg (75 carries, 330 yards, 2 TD, 1 fumble lost; 30 Rec, 222 yards, 1 TD)
The Jacksonville offense runs through Fournette. He will be handed the ball early and often. The main concern is his injury history with his ankles. I would expect him to miss a game or two over the course of the season, but he should still return solid RB1 numbers. To help Fournette survive the year, it’s likely that the Jags give a few more touches to backups Yeldon and Corey Grant. Grant shouldn’t have much standalone value, but Yeldon may actually have some value as a bottom-of-the-depth-chart backup due to his role in the passing game. Both players should only be late round flyers whose primary upside is that they will split time should Fournette go down.
Keelan Cole: 181.0 total, 11.3 ppg (60 Rec, 930 yards, 5 TD, 1 fumble lost)
Dede Westbrook: 139.7 total, 8.7 ppg (55 Rec, 627 yards, 4 TD, 1 fumble lost)
Donte Moncrief: 108.8 total, 6.8 ppg (40 Rec, 508 yards, 3 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Marqise Lee was slated to be the top receiver of this deep group, but after his gruesome knee injury that required him to be carted off the field I’m thinking he’ll be out for an extended period at best. That leaves Keelan Cole and Dede Westbrook atop the depth chart. Cole was more a deep threat last year, but has received rave reviews all offseason so he should be able to shoulder a leading role. Dede likely doesn’t see much of a difference since his role as the slot receiver was pretty well set, but there is certainly opportunity for some increased target share. Cole should be a WR3 while Dede is more a WR4/5. The other major beneficiary is Moncrief as Lee’s injury opens a path for Moncrief to actually see the field. However, it’s unlikely for him to rise above Dede or Cole on the depth chart, and he has D. J. Chark breathing down his neck for that third receiver role. Moncrief doesn’t carry any value unless there’s another injury in this receiving corps.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins: 147.0 total, 9.2 ppg (50 Rec, 630 yards, 6 TD, 1 fumble lost)
ASJ really is one of those players who just can’t quite put it all together but is talented enough that he keeps finding new teams as soon as his old ones drop him. He may finally find his home in Jacksonville as Bortles is in desperate need for a security blanket, especially after Lee’s injury. It’s still a low-volume passing attack, but ASJ should be on the TE1/2 cusp. If you like to target tight ends late, he could be a nice find.