Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown
Carson Wentz: 290.0 total, 18.1 ppg (335/560 passing, 3920 yards, 32 TD, 11 INT; 292 yards rushing, 1 TD, 4 fumbles lost)
Look for Wentz to come back down to Earth after his stellar sophomore campaign now that he lost both his offensive coordinator and QB coach. Even though the scheme is primarily devised by head coach Doug Pederson, that’s a lot of coaching talent Philly just lost.
Jay Ajayi: 170.0 total, 10.6 ppg (250 carries, 1125 yards, 6 TD, 1 fumble lost; 10 Rec, 75 yards, 1 TD)
Darren Sproles: 113.0 total, 7.1 ppg (50 carries, 210 yards, 1 TD, 0 fumbles lost; 40 Rec; 340 yards, 2 TD)
Corey Clement: 78.0 total, 4.9 ppg (100 carries, 440 yards, 3 TD, 0 fumbles lost; 5 Rec, 50 yards, 1 TD)
With LaGarrette Blount gone, look for Ajayi to take the lead role in this backfield. He won’t be a true workhorse – change-of-pace back Clement and scatback Sproles will see to that – but he should get enough volume to prove serviceable, if a tad boom-or-bust.
Nelson Agholor: 196.0 total, 12.3 ppg (70 Rec, 840 yards, 7 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Alshon Jeffery: 192.0 total, 12.0 ppg (60 Rec, 840 yards, 8 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Mike Wallace: 90.0 total, 5.6 ppg (35 Rec, 430 yards, 2 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Agholor certainly seemed to pick up steam as the season went on, so expect a small uptick in his production this season. I’d like to say Jeffery should also improve with a clean bill of health, but he doesn’t even have that yet. If he continues to struggle with injuries, Mack Hollins could be an interesting lottery pick. Wallace should just slide into Torrey Smith’s role as a boom-or-bust dice roll each week.
Zach Ertz: 193.5 total, 12.1 ppg (75 Rec, 825 yards, 6 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Even though these numbers look identical to last year, keep in mind that Ertz only played 14 games last year. These numbers are over 16. The modest decrease in production assumes a healthy Alshon Jeffery. If Jeffery once again falls to the injury bug, Ertz should exceed this projection. Dallas Goedert is an interesting dynasty pick, but will likely be irrelevant to fantasy this year.