San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview

2018 Projections

Note: all points are calculated with PPR scoring
Team Reception Breakdown

Jimmy Garoppolo: 264 total, 16.5 ppg (375/550 passing, 4400 yards, 28 TD, 14 INT; 20 yards rushing, 1 TD, 2 fumbles lost)
Have you heard that Garoppolo is still undefeated? The funny thing is, Garoppolo passed for a ton of yards in his 5 games last year but he only threw 7 TDs in those 5 games, with 7 INTs to match. He was given a couple of key upgrades in supporting cast and has now had an entire offseason to work in Kyle Shanahan’s system, but ultimately it’s still not the ideal supporting cast. Garoppolo should have good-not-great passing numbers, but doesn’t really run. In an era of the dual threat QB, Garoppolo’s passing numbers will be enough to keep in the middle of the QB2 discussion – he probably will even have a couple of QB1 weeks – but without running the ball he will struggle to consistently produce as a QB1.

Jerick McKinnon: 275.9 total, 17.2 ppg (225 carries, 923 yards, 8 TD, 1 fumble lost; 65 Rec, 546 yards, 3 TD)
Matt Breida: 147.7 total, 9.2 ppg (125 carries, 550 yards, 5 TD, 0 fumbles lost; 30 Rec, 267 yards, 1 TD)
When you have a running back with a much stronger history as a receiver than runner getting paid this much, you can count on him catching a lot of passes. Besides, the 49ers really don’t have anyone else of note in that backfield. I don’t think McKinnon will quite be a true workhorse as he’s a tad inconsistent between the tackles, but he should hold at least a Devonta Freeman role in Shanahan’s offense to go with the catches. On volume alone McKinnon ranks as a backend RB1. Breida holds some value as the change-of-pace back. His shoulder injury does not appear serious, so he should be ready to go for week 1. He could provide some flex numbers depending on the week.

Marquise Goodwin: 191.4 total, 12.0 ppg (60 Rec, 1014 yards, 5 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Pierre Garcon: 148.9 total, 9.3 ppg (55 Rec, 699 yards, 4 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Trent Taylor: 82.4 total, 5.2 ppg (35 Rec, 354 yards, 2 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Dante Pettis: 81.5 total, 5.1 ppg (25 Rec, 405 yards, 3 TD, 1 fumble lost)
There’s a chance Garcon comes back and immediately slides back into the WR1 role, relegating Goodwin back to the deep threat role. However, Garoppolo has reportedly developed terrific chemistry with Goodwin. They should play in a 1A/1B scenario, which greatly favors the deep threat Goodwin. Both are draft-worthy, but while Garcon is more bye week depth Goodwin should be in the WR2/3 conversation. Taylor will likely be a bit slow coming back from injury, but Pettis has been something of a mixed bag this offseason; clearly talented, but also clearly a rookie. Pettis has the higher ceiling, but I would not consider either of them worthy investments for this year.

George Kittle: 140.5 total, 8.8 ppg (50 Rec, 545 yards, 6 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Garrett Celek: 79.3 total, 5.0 ppg (25 Rec, 363 yards, 3 TD, 0 fumbles lost)
Similar to Breida, Kittle is expected back from his shoulder injury in time for week 1. He may lose some early season work due to his missed time, but figures to have a respectable role once he’s back up to speed. He should be reliable as a back end TE1. Celek might not be a bad flyer for week 1, but his role will be nominal after that.

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