The Obstructed NL West Preview-2019

The National League West has been dominated by the Dodgers for a while now. Last year we saw jumps however from the Rockies, hoping to take that next step after winning the Wild Card game and getting to the NLDS. Do they have enough to take the Dodgers down in 2019? The Padres made one of the biggest splashes in the off-season by bringing in Manny Machado and the hope is that the farm system, which is prime as prime can be, can pay off dividends starting this year. The Giants, if healthy (keyword: IF) can make some noise but the likes of Cueto, Bumgarner, and Posey need to be healthy and have better years from the Brandon boys (Crawford and Belt-who also needs to stay healthy). And the Diamondbacks look more towards a rebuild after the losses of Goldschmidt, Pollock, and others. So let’s take a look at how this year could fare out in the NL West. Again, my previews are how I believe the teams will play out in 2019 for predictions.

Arenado will prove why he is a big money player for the Rockies

(1) COLORADO ROCKIES

Last year: 91-72

KEY ADDITIONS: 1B-Mark Reynolds (FA-Washington)

KEY LOSSES: C-Drew Butera (FA-Philadelphia), 2B-DJ LeMahieu (FA-New York Yankees), OF-Carlos Gonzalez (FA-Cleveland), OF-Gerardo Parra (FA-San Francisco, P-Adam Ottavino (FA-New York Yankees)

The Rockies were one game back behind the Dodgers last year. Surprisingly the pitching of the Rockies really kept them in the race and getting into October baseball, notably by the arms of German Marquez and Kyle Freeland. However, there is hope the live armed Jon Gray turns it around this year which would be huge for the Rockies. The bullpen was decent, but Wade Davis needs to regain his form like he had in Kansas City and with the Cubs. If that happens, they will be a major threat for the NL in 2019. The offense of the Rockies, well, is the offense. Nolan Arenado, Charlie Blackmon, and Trevor Story will lead the way. But they do need more consistency out of their big free agent pickup from a couple of years ago in Ian Desmond and now we get to see Ryan McMahon play on an everyday level (and a guy I have high hopes for-he better since I have him on my fantasy team). If all goes well, the Rockies could be a major threat to the National League to get to the World Series in 2019….yes, I finally bought in to the Rockies after a few years of being a Doubting Thomas. MY PREDICTION: 93-69

Muncy will need to continue his streak in Los Angeles to help keep the Dodgers in the running

(2) LOS ANGELES DODGERS

Last year: 92-71 (Defeated Atlanta in NLDS, Defeated Milwaukee in NLCS, Lost to Boston in World Series)

KEY ADDITIONS: OF-AJ Pollock (FA-Arizona), C-Russell Martin (Trade-Toronto) P-Joe Kelly (FA-Boston),

KEY LOSSES: OF-Matt Kemp (Trade-Cincinnati), OF-Yasiel Puig (Trade-Cincinnati), P-Alex Wood (Trade-Cincinnati) C-Yasmani Grandal (FA-Milwaukee), 2B-Brian Dozier (FA-Washington), SS-Manny Machado (FA-San Diego) P-John Axford (FA-Toronto) P-Daniel Hudson (FA-Los Angeles Angels) 2B-Chase Utley (retired)

The Dodgers had a unique off-season to say the least. People (myself included) thought the Kemp/Puig/Wood trade to Cincinnati opened the door to the Dodgers signing Bryce Harper after all that payroll was freed. And that obviously didn’t happen. Also gone was reliable catcher Yasmani Grandal to Milwaukee, and prized trade acquisition Manny Machado. Los Angeles added the Diamondbacks prized free agent AJ Pollock which was a decent move and the reliable reliever in Joe Kelly, but did it off-set the losses? I’m not sure. And Clayton Kershaw is having injury issues and at times didn’t look as dominant last year. Corey Seager is also coming back from injury and the hope is that Max Muncy is a legit baseball player after exploding onto the scene last year. The other hope is if Cody Bellinger and Joc Pederson can find any way to get consistent as to me this one of the years that the Dodgers have a few more question marks than prior. But if their farm system (which is still strong) can step up with the young players, they should figure to be a threat in the West. MY PREDICTION: 89-73

The Machado signing may be the birth of something grand in San Diego

(3) SAN DIEGO PADRES

Last year: 66-96

KEY ADDITIONS: 3B-Manny Machado (FA-Los Angeles Dodgers), 2B-Ian Kinsler (FA-Boston) IF-Greg Garcia (Waivers-St. Louis), P-Adam Warren (FA-Seattle), P-Aaron Loup (FA-Philadelphia), P-Garret Richards (FA-Los Angeles Angels)

KEY LOSSES: P-Clayton Richard (Trade-Toronto), C-AJ Ellis (retired), 2B-Corey Spangenberg (FA-Miami), SS-Freddy Galvis (FA-Toronto)

A lot of high hopes now run in San Diego thanks in part to the signing of Manny Machado. He fills the need of that offensive weapon that the Padres have sorely lacked since really Adrian Gonzalez. If Wil Myers can stay healthy and Eric Hosmer can get a little more pop, the Padres have a nice offense going in what it seems like it’s forever. The other hope is that we start seeing some of San Diego’s top prospects come into play such as Fernando Tatis Jr (who should be up with San Diego by May) and Luis Urias making an impact. Of course, what will really slow down the Padres will be the starting pitching. San Diego ranked near the bottom in everything with starting pitching and Garret Richards isn’t likely to pitch in 2019 so the starting five are Joey Lucchesi, Chris Paddack (one of their top prospects), Matt Strahm, Eric Lauer, and Robbie Erlin. So it may be a rough stretch for the Padres, but I think as the season unfolds, they will get better and will try to swing a trade to get an established ace (Corey Kluber’s name has come up, but doubtful the Indians would trade them especially if they are in the hunt for the post-season). But the first steps are rolling in the land of Ron Burgundy for the Padres. They will show vast improvement in 2019. MY PREDICTION: 82-80

Posey is continuing to battle for the Giants

(4) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Last year: 73-89

KEY ADDITIONS: OF-Gerardo Parra (FA-Colorado), IF-Yangervis Solarte (FA-Toronto) OF-Cameron Maybin (FA-Seattle) P-Drew Pomeranz (FA-Boston), C-Stephen Vogt (FA-Milwaukee)

KEY LOSSES: C-Nick Hundley (FA-Oakland), OF-Gregor Blanco (FA-New York Mets), OF-Hunter Pence (FA-Texas), P-Hunter Strickland (FA-Seattle)

The Giants….well, it seems like they avoided giving the heavy contract out that always seems to bite them on the rear end this year (though the Johnny Cueto signing was fine until he got injured). But the biggest things with San Francisco that has plagued them in the past two years have been injuries and inconsistencies. The injuries have taken its toll with this veteran bunch all over the place and they haven’t has been as consistent as we remembered them when they won 3 titles in 5 seasons. And they are getting older on top of it while having a farm system that is not exactly in the best of shapes. But if Buster Posey can keep healthy, and Crawford and Belt can be more consistent, they have a shot at competing. Similar case can go for Madison Bumgarner (health) and Jeff Samardzija (consistency) If those guys can do their thing, they will be a tough out in the NL West. But there are just too many questions in San Francisco for me to think they have a major chance to bring down the Rockies or Dodgers in 2019. MY PREDICTION: 76-86

Peralta and Arizona could be in for a long year

(5) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

Last year: 82-80

KEY ADDITIONS: 2B-Wilmer Flores (FA-New York Mets), C-Carson Kelly (Trade-St. Louis), OF-Adam Jones (FA-Baltimore), P-Luke Weaver (Trade-St. Louis), P-Greg Holland (FA-Washington)

KEY LOSSES: 1B-Paul Goldschmidt (Trade-St. Louis), C-Jeff Mathis (FA-Texas), IF-Daniel Descalso (FA-Chicago Cubs), OF-Chris Owings (FA-Kansas City), OF-Jon Jay (FA-Chicago White Sox), P-Patrick Corbin (FA-Washington), P-Shelby Miller (FA-Texas), P-Brad Boxberger (FA-Kansas City), P-Randall Delgado (FA-Chicago White Sox), P-Jake Diekman (FA-Kansas City)

While my fellow baseball friends keep telling me the Diamondbacks aren’t in a full rebuild, it certainly looks that way. One of your aces in Patrick Corbin is gone. Your stellar outfielder in AJ Pollock is gone. And you traded one of the best first basemen in all of baseball in Paul Goldschmidt away. And then you bring in a veteran well past his prime in Jones, a utility player that never really exploded on the scene in Flores, and a guy who hasn’t been the same since his arm injury in Holland. And now the Diamondbacks are hoping the likes of David Peralta and Eduardo Escobar can carry the load for them as well as Jake Lamb who is coming off of injury. If the Diamondbacks are to go anywhere, Zack Greinke has to look like the Dodgers version of himself and also step up to be a leader as opposed to being the stand-offish kind of guy. If Robbie Ray looks like 2017 Robbie Ray and Zack Godley continues his improvement while Luke Weaver steps up, the Diamondbacks may frustrate some hitters in the NL West. However, I don’t figure Arizona to be in the race and also don’t figure them to keep somebody like Greinke by the deadline. That offense looks to maligned right now for me to think the Diamondbacks have a shot in the NL West. MY PREDICTION: 69-93

That’s it for this go-around.

-Fan in the Obstructed Seat

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